- cross-posted to:
- futurology@futurology.today
- cross-posted to:
- futurology@futurology.today
Video of ceramic storage system prototype surfaces online — 10,000TB cartridges bombarded with laser rays could become mainstream by 2030, making slow hard drives and tapes obsolete::Ceramics-based storage medium consumes very little energy and lasts more than 5,000 years, creators say
My apologies to the set designers of The Donnager/Rocinante on The Expanse, for when I said “Ugh, not the glass tile future computer trope again.”
Look if you can trade a little over a hundred isolinear processing chips for a goddamn space cannon it’s gotta be worth it
I’m pretty sure that trope is 100% about being able to use the actors’ faces while they’re doing computer stuff. Same as why space suits always have lights inside the helmets, which would be an insanely bad idea IRL.
To all the naysayers: if the claims hold up this will be super useful for some industries. Example, I worked at a human genomics lab for diagnostics. By law we were supposed to retain raw data for a whopping 120 years. With a couple terabyte per individual for a WGS, the storage and backup costs were very much non-trivial.
As a data analyst at mid-large corporation in America: please stop emailing me that the servers are nearly full. I need to store all of this to stay within regulations and you only give me one place to put my data outputs :(
As a regular computer user: please stop telling me my OneDrive is full, I don’t even use it, I have no idea how it filled up
Yeah genomics research has this white elephant problem where the data retention for open science/publication is incredibly expensive for the ones doing the research.
Just wait until one of your techs drops a cassette of these glass and ceramic plates and suddenly your company is out 100,000TB of data.
The whole “it can last 5000 years” thing is somewhat ridiculous considering the library mechanisms, carriers for the slides and basically everything else not glass and ceramic probably won’t last more than 20 or 30.
It is possible to make glass and ceramics that are resistant to shattering from fair hard impacts. I don’t know if that can be employed here, but there are other ways to deal with the problem.
Additionally, if 100,000 TB is something that people can carry by hand, then it is also possible to back up those drives relatively easily (relative to that technology).
Lastly, current silicon fabs have boxes of wafers that at the final stages can exceed $1M in the retail value. They have robots that handle those. If the 100,000 TB is worth something close to that, then a human will not be carrying it.
You’re not playing Lemmy correctly. The highest rated post must always be a half-hearted pessimistic lazy criticism of whatever new technology is being described.
then a Han Wo to be carrying it.
Who dat
Lastly, current silicon fabs have boxes of wafers that at the final stages can exceed $1M in the retail value. They have robots that handle those. If the 100,000 TB is worth something close to that, then a human will not be carrying it.
Pharma has entered the chat…they just have warehouse people riding forklifts with pallets worth much more than $1M.
I’m sure pharmacy has some crazy value density, but it’s hards to put accurate values on their products because of insurance.
The boxes of wafers I was talking about is roughly 1.5 ft cubed. The fabs will have hundreds of these boxes moving around by robots at any one time.
Not really, i work in the industry (in europe), and prices we use in the production facilities are actual selling value, not the ridicolous inflated prices you see on the invoice in the US.
Or just put the cartridge in a shockproof box. One that can last as long as the medium. It can’t be that hard to make a really good box.
possible to make glass and ceramics that are resistant to shattering from fair hard impacts.
As far as I know, there is 1 storage technology that has survived wars. Paper.
Say that to the library of Alexandria.
Yes, but paper isn’t information dense and is highly susceptible to even the smallest amount of moisture in the air.
Paper is notoriously easy to destroy in conflicts
There’s another, better one: stone carvings.
That’s… literally always a concern. Name a digital storage medium impervious to impact damage. You can’t.
Isn’t that a concern with other tech too? If storage is cheaper, it would enable for more redundant copies
A lot of places just don’t have backups. I’m thinking of hospitals getting hit with ransomware attacks, some are fine and just pull from backups and others shell out lots of money.
I’d love to see cheaper enterprise storage since it’ll be easier to justify more backups. That single IT guy managing a hospital network could use a break…
Having backups at multiple sites is industry standard. Nobody is keeping 100,000TB of data in a single location.
As for your second point, I don’t see the relevance. You can store the glass wherever you want, the other mechanisms aren’t relevant for keeping the stored data.
But ceramic plates can probably be put into a working enclosure to get the data from it again
Just like how if you put a shattered CD in an apparatus, you can still use a laser reader to recover any data on the undamaged sections.
Though, because data is recorded in a circular pattern at high speeds, you won’t get much. Or what you get will have lots of corruption. I wonder what pattern of storage these plates use? If it’s similar to SSDs, then large files can be nested in a very small area of space - increasing the chances of recovery.
They have a video on their channel showing them bending and twisting the material.
I don’t think consumer use is even on Cerabyte’s roadmap. They are proposing rack-mounted units for datacenters, and the roadmap includes upgrading from lasers to electron microscopes for higher density in the future. The media are super dense but the equipment to read and write that media is large and complex.
There was some discussion on this a few months back in this thread, as well: https://lemmy.world/post/4695105
As I noted in that other thread, they were set to present at the Storage Developer Conference in October. Looks like the video of their presentation is available now. I have not yet watched it. https://storagedeveloper.org/events/agenda/session/527
Edit: Looking through their presentation PDF, they refer to access times from 10 seconds to 90 seconds. That’s whole seconds, no milli, micro, or nano. More a substitute for archival tapes than hard drives or SSDs. They don’t seem to address any use case besides cold storage. I’m not saying that to dismiss or criticize the tech, just to point out that the linked article seems to be off target in its analysis, particularly in the headline.
This should be the top comment.
Data hoarders will love it if it’s cheaper than current storage methods. How much would you need to pay for 10PB right now?
I have been waiting for the results of project silica for awhile. The fact there are potential alternatives is very exciting to hear. The hoard is not getting any smaller.
The storage plates probably won’t cost much, but the capabilities it uses to write to those plates looks extremely expensive and won’t be fitting into your computer tower any time soon.
“Any time soon” is the thing. Look at the history of hard disk drives. To store 3.75MB in 1957 on a hard disk, a single hard disk was the size of two refrigerators. By the 1980s they were 8 inches (~20cm) big stored 10 MB. Nowadays they are 3.5 inches (~9 cm) big and can store multiple TB.
Technology has accelerated considerably. Even if it takes 20 years, it might still be quicker than the hard disk to home timeline.
Yes, but there’s different problems at hand now. 60 years ago the entire driving force in computers consisted of making things smaller. A hard drive 50 years ago worked like a hard drive from 20 years ago. Just shrunk. Same for processors.
Well now we’re running out of room to shrink. We had to change hard drives completely. Processors started going multi core, and in the case of these ceramic drives: lasers can’t get much smaller and stay powerful enough to write, and magnifying lenses also can’t keep shrinking.
Aside from that, this tech is all physical, which means noise, and no one wants to go back to hearing noisy hard drives again. Lol
Wow, more amazing technology I can’t wait to never hear about again…
Ceramic drives have been in the news for a few years now. They have been edging towards commercial availability for a while. It might take a while until they become available to consumers like yourself, but it’s not like nothing is happening.
Holographic storage has been around for about 20 years now. Where’s my holographic drive?
Looks like you saw right through the marketing. Seems like that product failed to materialize. It fairs to reason those claims were intangible.
Triple threat over here 🤣 your killin me
Holographic storage?
Finally something that could hold my entire porn collection.
Something I sometimes think about is how much of humanity’s history is just like, gone. Completely forgotten to time. Great works of art that’ll never be seen. Amazing compositions that’ll never again be heard. An uncalculable number of lifetimes reduced to nothing more than food for the dirt.
The proposition that we could store vast amounts of our current experience on archival slabs and preserve it all far into our distant future is incredibly exciting to me. It wouldn’t only allow us to indefinitely preserve all of these incredible works of art our modern world has enabled. But would also allow us to more effectively learn from our collective societal mistakes. It would hopefully be more difficult to ignore our past foibles when we keep such detailed receipts… Hopefully.
If not at least they’ll have SpongeBob in 7023 to distract from the cyber-nazis.
Yeah but in about 10 years it will be replaced by something even better and they’ll stop making the readers for it.
The proposition that we could store vast amounts of our current experience on archival slabs and preserve it all far into our distant future is incredibly exciting to me.
We’re currently one Carrington Event away from losing a huge amount of the history of the last 20 years. Not to mention all of the things from previous years that were archived from originals that no longer exist.
I can’t wait to never be able to afford this
This will never be for the average consumer. By their marketing alone I can tell you they’re pretty much exclusively targeting large data centers with this tech.
How big were drives 10 years ago? 20 years ago? 30 years ago? Floppy disks were big for their time. They held 3.5" floppies held a whopping 1.44MB in 1986. Average new phones have capacity orders of a magnitude bigger than that.
You might need to take a step back and look at history before making such absolute claims.
What does this have to do with what I just said?
The problem isn’t how much data these can hold, but that they’re not rewritable. THAT is what makes them only useful to data centres.
You can only write to them once. But they’re not like hard disks or flash memory where you can delete the data and write again.
people also have necessities like these. family photos and videos, music and movies ripped from their physical media and ebooks can all be stored in a read only storage device.
I know my family has old photos that they’ve been trying to digitalize because of the paper slowly degrading, for example. an ordinary hard drive can fail any time. this ceramic thing could be used instead, as it appears to be more durable and there’s no need rewrite anything.
Exactly.
So what if they’re write once? If the capacity is high enough vs cost, then I just continue filling it up with incremental Backups. Knowing it’s stable and massive means I just buy a new storage medium when it’s full… In ten years.
Not even large data centers really in the typical sense.
100% archival storage.
I wonder how many people said that about computers back in the day when they were occupying a whole room.
It’s not a scale issue. But a use issue.
I don’t see many people burning disks anymore.
Much to my frustration. Backing up a self-hosted NAS to 3-2-1 standards is difficult and/or expensive. I wish LTO drives weren’t out of reach.
deleted by creator
Likely not that ceramic. Ceramic has a pretty loose definition, see: “ceramic cookware”
deleted by creator
Interesting.
How many write-erase cycles can be done?
I don’t think this is rewritable storage, this looks to be permanent forever storage. So you wouldn’t put this in a regular computer.
0, it’s write once read anytime you feel brave enough to dig through 10000TB of data.
Still useful as archive storage I guess.
For some use cases, sure. Personally I can’t remember when was the last time I reached for old backups to dig something up.
*arr stack would disagree with you, storage of this tech and os on ssd would make quite good self hosted streaming platform
if it can be read in real time with a decent speed, absolutely.
Now if they could only make one that only costs a couple thousand dollars and fits in a full height 5.25" drive bay.
Why would you want that? This is, permanent storage. You write to it and that’s it, it’ll hold the data, and only that data, forever.
This method of data storage will not be useful to the average consumer, and this company is hoping to replace hard drives in data centers for cold storage.
Why wouldn’t it be? Do you believe nobody stores data at home that they would want to have for longer than 5-10 years?
The average person tends to want something that can be rewritten.
Photos, recordings, bank statements, pay slips, etc. all don’t change and would probably want to be kept for years. The average person probably has them all on some cloud service or on multiple devices (laptops, phones, PCs). Having just one drive to store all of that on that you can be sure doesn’t degrade until well past your natural life isn’t that farfetched.
That would be a similar price and size as a typical tape drive. It would be used for backups and the ability to rewrite data would not be needed as long as the cartridges can have multiple partial writes.
You had tricks on cd’s and such to make it kinda work as read/write storage.
Yeah, but this ceramic storage is literally lasers punching holes into a ceramic layer.
And what do you think CD writers are? I’m not talking about rewriteable CDs here. Normal burn once CDs. You could write some files, then decide to replace a file and add more.
Look up cd sessions. Until you finalized it, and as long as there was still free space, you could add, modify and delete data on it.
I know it was said before in previous decades as storage evolved, but: How the fuck, do you eve fill these up?
That’s only 10 Petabytes per cartridge. The Internet Archive is currently sitting at 212 Petabytes.
Just wait. Triple AAA devs will find a way to make their code even less optimal so that way the latest call of duty or NBA games will be 5tb in size while also receiving 5tb updates every other day to fix bugs and add paywalled content and gambli- I mean loot boxes.
Call of Duty updates
I like to think of them as IPv6 addresses. You just don’t.
Porn
We’ll find a way, trust me. Its just an exuse for ever more detailed data.
Porn
Why would they be harder to fill up in the evening? /s
I thought latency was measured in seconds for these?
At 10,000tb, it could have a latency of 5 minutes and it’d probably still be useful for long term storage.
Edit: it’s also useful to note that it sounds like these are write-once, read many. That means for consumers, they might eventually replace Blurays, but they probably won’t be replacing your hard drive.
Yeah that would be the only useful use case. However I think with even a few seconds of latency I could deal with that for things like video playback since it would quite literally up my storage by a few orders of magnitude.
Yeah it wasn’t so long ago that hard drive storage was more expensive than spindles of CD-Rs and that was around the time that internet and torrenting were taking off. People used to burn CDs full of movies to share and make room to download more. In that use case a unit of 700 MB on write once read many storage was useful if cheap.
Depending on price, consumers may be able to afford multiples. They could in theory use them until no space remains. This would be be fine for any data storage that people want, but obvious wouldn’t be good as your c drive.
Also, if they can truly be manufactured on the cheap, it could be a good backup system for anyone with a digital collection of photos / movies / etc. My photo collection doesn’t change much but takes up a decent amount of space. If I could buy one of these a year, dump a bunch of photos, then bury it in the yard (or whatever) for the event of a drive failure. I’d be cool with that - something sturdy enough to take some abuse as a backup drive with a long memory and low failure rate.
10k TB would be enough to backup all my data hundreds of times over. If I made a cold copy every 3 months of everything, even accounting for increasing data over time, I’d probably die before making it through a single one.
I’m sure the plates are reasonable but are you going to be sticking a electron microscope in your office…?
We’re talking about equipment that’s hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars in order to write and read from these plates.
I get your point, but the consumer version may not need to be as complex as an electron microscope. Additionally, there will be much more demand for these than electron microscopes. I’m speculating here, but both of these factors together could reduce the price significantly.
Thermal variations over time: Hold my beer.
deleted by creator